Bouncing Back: The Resurgence of Home Prices

If you’re following the news today, you may feel a bit unsure about what’s happening with home prices and fear whether or not the worst is yet to come. That’s because today’s headlines are painting an unnecessarily negative picture. If we take a year-over-year view, home prices did drop some, but that’s because we’re comparing to a ‘unicorn’ year when prices peaked well beyond the norm.

To avoid an unfair comparison to that previous peak, we need to look at monthly data. And that tells a very different and much more positive story. While local home price trends still vary by market, here’s what the national data tells us.

The graphs below use recent monthly reports from three sources to show the worst home price declines are already behind us, and prices are appreciating nationally.

Looking at this monthly view, we can see the past year in the housing market can be divided into two parts. In the first half of 2022, home prices were going up, and fast. However, starting in July, prices began to go down (shown in blue in the graphs above). By around August or September, the trend started to stabilize. But, looking at the most recent data for early 2023, these graphs also show that prices are going up again.

The fact that all three reports show prices have been going up for three or more straight months is an encouraging sign for the housing market. The month-over-month data indicates a national shift is happening – home prices are rising again.

Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P Dow Jones Indicessays this about home price trends:

“If I were trying to make a case that the decline in home prices that began in June 2022 had definitively ended in January 2023, April’s data would bolster my argument.” 

Experts believe one of the reasons prices didn’t crash like some expected is because there aren’t enough available homes for the number of people who want to buy them. Even with today’s mortgage rates, there are more people looking to buy than there are homes available for sale.

Mark Fleming, Chief Economist aFirst American, explains how more demand than supply keeps upward pressure on prices:

“History has shown that higher rates may take the steam out of rising prices, but it doesn’t cause them to collapse entirely. This is especially true in today’s housing market, where the demand for homes continues to outpace supply, keeping the pressure on house prices."

Doug Duncan, Senior VP and Chief Economist at Fannie Maestates home price growth is exceeding expectations thanks to that high demand:

“. . . housing prices continue to show stronger growth than what was previously expected . . . Housing’s performance is a testimony to the strength of demographic-related demand . . .”

Here’s How This Affects You

  • Buyers: If you've been holding off on buying because you were worried the value of your home would go down, knowing home prices have bounced back should bring you some relief. It also gives you the opportunity to own something that usually becomes more valuable as time goes on.
  • Sellers: If you've been waiting to sell your house because you were concerned about how changing home prices would affect its value, it might be a good idea to team up with a real estate agent to list your house. You don't have to wait any longer because the latest data suggests things are turning in your favor.

Bottom Line

If you delayed your moving plans because you were concerned about home prices dropping, the latest data reveals the worst is already over, and prices are appreciating nationally. Let's get in touch so you know what's happening with home prices in our area.

1802 Properties
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$625,000
Neighborhood: Port Charlotte Sec 022
3
Beds
2F11/2
Baths
2,324
Sq.Ft.
2006
Year Built
1
Day on Site
C7494066
MLS
$265,000
Neighborhood: Port Charlotte Sec 010
3
Beds
2
Baths
1,690
Sq.Ft.
1960
Year Built
1
Day on Site
C7493739
MLS
$539,900
Neighborhood: Port Charlotte Sec 071
3
Beds
2
Baths
1,705
Sq.Ft.
2023
Year Built
1
Day on Site
D6136998
MLS
$330,000
Neighborhood: Heritage Oak Park 04 Rep
2
Beds
2
Baths
1,364
Sq.Ft.
2003
Year Built
2
Days on Site
C7493853
MLS
$269,990
Neighborhood: Port Charlotte Sec 045
4
Beds
2
Baths
1,657
Sq.Ft.
1960
Year Built
2
Days on Site
T3534228
MLS
$375,000
Neighborhood: Punta Gorda Isles Sec 23
3
Beds
2
Baths
2,110
Sq.Ft.
1990
Year Built
2
Days on Site
C7491827
MLS
2
Beds
2
Baths
1,327
Sq.Ft.
1996
Year Built
2
Days on Site
C7494064
MLS
$175,000
Neighborhood: Rolls Landing Ph 03 Bldg 06
2
Beds
2
Baths
1,308
Sq.Ft.
1985
Year Built
2
Days on Site
C7493898
MLS
$339,900
Neighborhood: Port Charlotte Sec 013
3
Beds
2
Baths
1,623
Sq.Ft.
1974
Year Built
3
Days on Site
C7493947
MLS
$565,000
Neighborhood: Port Charlotte Sec 078
3
Beds
3
Baths
2,676
Sq.Ft.
2022
Year Built
3
Days on Site
C7493855
MLS
$415,900
Neighborhood: Port Charlotte Sec 022
3
Beds
2
Baths
1,729
Sq.Ft.
1993
Year Built
3
Days on Site
C7493286
MLS
$117,000
Neighborhood: Plaza View
1
Beds
1F11/2
Baths
929
Sq.Ft.
1968
Year Built
3
Days on Site
C7493950
MLS

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